Quantitative Risk Assessment for African Horse Sickness in Live Horses Exported from South Africa.
African horse equi-jec 7 sickness (AHS) is a severe, often fatal, arbovirus infection of horses, transmitted by Culicoides spp.midges.AHS occurs in most of sub-Saharan Africa and is a significant impediment to export of live horses from infected countries, such as South Africa.A stochastic risk model was developed to estimate the probability of exp